Here you can see the contents of the current issue of Panoeconomicus - 2011-2
Below you can find the articles associated with the release of the journal.
Philip Arestis:
Fiscal Policy Is Still an Effective Instrument of Macroeconomic Policy
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 143-156, doi: 10.2298/PAN1102143A
[Abstract] [fulltext]
Article Abstract:
Recent developments in macroeconomics and macroeconomic
policy, what has come to be known as “New Consensus in Macroeconomics”,
downgrades the role of fiscal policy and upgrades that of monetary policy. This
contribution aims to consider this particular contention by focusing on fiscal
policy. We consider fiscal policy within the current “new consensus” theoretical
framework, which views fiscal policy as ineffective, and argue that it deserves a
great deal more attention paid to it than it has been recently. We review and
appraise recent and not so recent theoretical and empirical developments on
the fiscal policy front. The possibility of fiscal and monetary policy coordination
is proposed and discussed to conclude that it deserves a great deal more attention
and careful consideration than it has been given to in the past. Our
overall conclusion is that discretionary application of fiscal and monetary policy
in a coordinated and focused manner as a tool of macroeconomic policy deserves
serious attention paid to it than hitherto.
Michael Woodford:
Robustno optimalna monetarna politika sa skoro-racionalnim očekivanjima
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 157-193, doi: 10.2298/PAN1102157W
[Abstract] [fulltext]
Article Abstract:
U radu se razmatra optimalna politika monetarne stabilizacije unutar
dalekovidog modela kada centralna banka uviđa da očekivanja privatnog
sektora ne moraju biti nužno konzistentna modelu, i želi da izabere politiku
zadovoljavajuću u slučaju bilo kog uverenja dovoljno bliskog konzistentnosti
modela. Utvrđeno je da je obavezivanje i dalje bitno za optimalnu politiku, da
optimalni dugoročni inflacioni target nije pod uticajem stepena potencijalnih
distorzija verovanja, i da je optimalna politika čak više zavisna od istorijskog
konteksta nego u slučaju pretpostavljenih racionalnih očekivanja.
Joăo Sousa Andrade & Adelaide Duarte:
The Fundamentals of the Portuguese Crisis
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 195-218, doi: 10.2298/PAN1102195A
[Abstract] [fulltext]
Article Abstract:
This paper analyses the fundamentals of the Portuguese crisis. The
financial crisis of 2007 worsened and triggered the current Portuguese crisis.
We argue that the main problem the economy is facing is its output stagnation
due to a kind of Dutch disease that has created high and increasing levels of
indebtedness, low and decreasing levels of saving and has reduced Portuguese
competitiveness. Moreover, the existence of a dualist labour market and
a new wave of emigration produce inefficiency, increasing unemployment of
younger workers and the supply of human capital abroad funded by the Portuguese
taxpayers. Governance problems such as poor public budget governance
and lack of transparency and accountability are also at stake. These
governance problems must be solved to allow the economy to return to its
long-run growth path.
Miloš Božović, Branko Urošević & Boško Živković:
Credit Rating Agencies and Moral Hazard
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 219-227, doi: 10.2298/PAN1102219B
[Abstract] [fulltext]
Article Abstract:
The failure of credit rating agencies to properly assess risks of
complex financial securities was instrumental in setting off the global financial
crisis. This paper studies the incentives of companies and rating agencies and
argues that the way the current rating market is organized may provide agencies
with intrinsic disincentives to accurately report credit risk of securities they
rate. Informational inefficiency is only enhanced when rating agencies function
as an oligopoly or when they rate structured products. We discuss possible
market and regulatory solutions to these problems.
Nina Ponikvar & Maks Tajnikar:
Are the Determinants of Markup Size Industry-Specific? The Case of Slovenian Manufacturing Firms
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 229-244, doi: 10.2298/PAN1102229P
[Abstract] [fulltext]
Article Abstract:
The aim of this paper is to identify factors that affect the pricing
policy in Slovenian manufacturing firms in terms of the markup size and, most
of all, to explicitly account for the possibility of differences in pricing procedures
among manufacturing industries. Accordingly, the analysis of the dynamic
panel is carried out on an industry-by-industry basis, allowing the coefficients
on the markup determinants to vary across industries. We find that the oligopoly
theory of markup determination for the most part holds for the manufacturing
sector as a whole, although large variability in markup determinants exists
across industries within the Slovenian manufacturing. Our main conclusion is
that each industry should be investigated separately in detail in order to assess
the precise role of markup factors in the markup-determination process.
Roberto J. Santillán Salgado:
Banking Concentration in the European Union during the Last Fifteen Years
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 245-266, doi: 10.2298/PAN1102245S
[Abstract] [fulltext]
Article Abstract:
The increase in the concentration of the banking industry across
European Union countries during the last fifteen years can be explained in
terms of: a) global factors, like the comprehensive adoption of technological
innovations, the intensification of competition that has resulted from the deregulation
of the financial sector and, more recently, as a consequence of the
government interventions and forced acquisitions prompted by the 2007-2009
financial crisis; and, b) factors that have been specific to the E.U., in particular,
the structural changes that took place in the region as a result of the creation of
the Single Financial Market (1993) and the introduction of the euro (1999). This
work analyzes the concentration process of the banking industry in the E.U.
during the last fifteen years giving preeminence to the strategic choices made
by the region’s commercial banks. It also reports the most visible E.U. banks’
M&As and government interventions that resulted from the 2007-2009 financial
crisis, make a preliminary evaluation of the outcomes, and suggests possible
future trends for the banking industry in the region.
Veselin Vukotić:
Quantum Economics
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 267-276, doi: 10.2298/PAN1102267V
[Abstract] [fulltext]
Article Abstract:
The globalization is breaking-down the idea of national state, which
was the base for the development of economic theory which is dominant today.
Global economic crisis puts emphasis on limited possibilities of national governments
in solving economic problems and general problems of society. Does
it also mean that globalization and global economic crisis points out the need to
think about new economic theory and new understanding of economics? In this
paper I will argue that globalization reveals the need to change dominant economic
paradigm – from traditional economic theory (mainstream) with macroeconomic
stability as the goal of economic policy, to the “quantum economics“,
which is based on “economic quantum” and immanent to the increase of wealth
(material and non-material) of every individual in society and promoting set of
values immanent to the wealth increase as the goal of economic policy. Practically
the question is how we can use global market for our development!
Božo Stojanović:
The Consequences of the Unpredictable and the Unexpected The Black Swan - The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Panoeconomicus 2011 Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages: 277-284
[Abstract] [fulltext]